The world is full of uncertainty: accidents, storms, unruly financial markets, noisy communications. The world is also full of data. Probabilistic modeling and the related field of statistical ...

Leveraging Tracking Data to Contextualize the Difficulty of a Throw Not all passes are created equal. A quarterback receives the same credit for a completion whether the pass traveled 60 yards ...

After fitting survival data with a linear regression model, it is important to know how to use the results to make prediction of the t-year survival probability or median failure time for future ...

This paper contrasts three approaches to modeling the Federal Communications Commission's comparative broadcast licensing decisions: the linear probability model, binary logit analysis, and ...

Football has often been described as a game won in the trenches. For years, however, quantifying the performance of individual blockers and pass rushers remained a challenge. Traditional statistics ...