Brace for a swift 20% drop in the S&P 500 if recession strikes in 2026, Wall Street forecaster says

If all remains well with the US economy in 2026, investment bank Stifel sees 9% for the S&P 500. If it doesn't, prepare for a ...
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Odds of Recession Are Soaring in Prediction Markets

One ‘easy’ way to see how above consensus expectations these tariffs were is the odds of a recession in prediction markets. For example, Polymarket – which famously outperformed pollsters in ...