This report explains recent changes that have affected CBO’s projections and provides details about the agency’s latest economic forecast—namely, its projections of output, the labor market, inflation, …

Dec 10, 2025 · Economic projections of Federal Reserve Board members and Federal Reserve Bank presidents, under their individual assumptions of projected appropriate monetary policy, December …

Housing begins to thaw Our rates strategists expect the 10y to rally to 3.75% by mid-2026, contingent on our economic forecast and outlook for monetary policy, which would bring mortgage rates from the …

We expect softer readings on the labor market and real GDP growth in the second half of the year. Upcoming interest rate cuts should help preserve the economy’s growth, preventing a downturn in …

Sep 10, 2025 · As economic activity strengthens in 2026 amid stimulative fiscal policy and less restrictive monetary policy, we look for job growth to gradually gather momentum and average 91K …

Aug 4, 2025 · To address this risk, the Forecast Office has developed the July regional forecast and the August revenue forecast based on the average of the S&P Global’s forecast and the Moody’s …

In this report, the budget projections are based on CBO’s economic forecast, which reflects trade policy as of November 20, 2025, and economic developments and laws in place as of December 3, …